MTI Green is the New Black

Hans Albrecht
Dec 6, 2025
3 min read

Black Friday is done. The inbox carnage has eased. But in markets, the real sale just started.

Because right now, green is the new black.

And I don’t mean screens flashing green for a day. I mean something deeper, more structural: the MTI is flipping green across key pockets of the market. Not all at once, not indiscriminately, but in a way that tells you conditions are shifting from “careful” to “constructive.”

And that’s happening at the same time the macro backdrop is doing something very strange… and very powerful.

Broadening.

And that means it's not the usual suspects doing all the heavy lifting for markets. It's actually the S&P490 giving it a go.

The “Bad News is Good News” Window Is Back

ADP showed the biggest payroll drop since early 2023. Normally that’s a red flag.But in today’s K-shaped economy, it confirms a very different setup:

Margins are expanding because labor’s share of the pie is shrinking.
Multiples can float higher as real rates compress.
GDP can still grow even with a weaker labor market.
And with the Fed willing to look through sticky inflation to deliver cuts, the runway for real assets and cyclicals gets clearer.
Next week's FOMC will be key, but I think we know what's what - it's America and stocks go up.

This is exactly the kind of environment where green MTI signals matter more.They’re not just directional - they indicate alignment between flows, volatility, and fundamentals. They're a pro trade, from a pro.

What am I seeing?

Huge vol compression (VIX under 15.50!), even across expiries
CTAs flipping to buy
Vol-control funds adding exposure (yeah those Terminator-like buyers that show up when volatility falls)
Did I mention the Big Beautiful Bill? GDP jammin'
Did I mention rate cuts? GDP jammin'
AI juicing just about everything with productivity and cost-savings? GDP jammin'
Did I mention massive company margins that are about to expand more in 2026? GDP jammin'

It all points to the same thing:

Conditions are quietly improving faster than sentiment.

Sure, non-believers still abound. Shorts are somehow still not extinct.

But here’s the paradox:

The best returns rarely come when everything feels safe. They come when conditions improve while people are still looking the other way.

One of my favorite sayings: Climbing the Wall of Worry. I said it would happen 1500 SPX points ago, and I won't stop.

This Is Why Green Matters More Now

When the MTI flashes green during a transition like this, it’s not noise.

2025 was foundational.2026 could be transformational.

AI buildout, margins, infrastructure demand, cyclicals, shared leadership - it’s all converging. And the MTI is one of the earliest signals that the market is gearing up for that next chapter.

Not a chase. Not euphoria. Just clean, supportive conditions.

Green is the new black.

And the runway ahead looks better than most people realize.

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Hans "Just Turbo It" Albrecht

CEO and Founder

Options with Hans